Table 1

Predictors of episodes of earache reported after 3 months.

Had earache n (%)Did not have earache n (%)Crude OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)aLR χ2 (P-value)
Symptoms and signs:
 High temperature11 (21)23 (14)1.66 (0.75 to 3.68)1.62 (0.71 to 3.71)1.25 (0.26)
 Vomiting8 (16)32 (19)0.78 (0.34 to 1.83)0.63 (0.26 to 1.52)1.13 (0.29)
 Ear discharge20 (39)35 (21)2.43 (1.24 to 4.78)2.57 (1.29 to 5.13)7.04 (0.004)
 Bulging drum30 (58)71 (42)1.86 (0.99 to 3.50)2.18 (1.13 to 4.20)5.50 (0.019)
Past history — prior episodes of otitis media:
 078 (53)26 (54)110.52 (0.77)
 137 (25)11 (23)0.89 (0.40 to 2.00)0.80 (0.34 to 1.84)
 232 (22)11 (23)1.03 (0.46 to 2.33)0.75 (0.30 to 1.85)
Family/social factors — child care:
 Playgroup13 (29)29 (22)110.43 (0.81)
 Nursery4 (9)19 (14)0.47 (0.13 to 1.66)0.65 (0.17 to 2.45)
 School28 (62)86 (64)0.73 (0.33 to 1.59)0.83 (0.36 to 1.92)
  • OR = odds ratio. LR = likelihood ratio.

  • a Adjusted for significant predictors of outcome. Other variable assessed in models and shown not to predict outcome: asthma, eczema, exposure to smoke in the home, educational status of parents, history of breast feeding, past and current use of dummy, sibling having had otitis media.