Table 4

Diagnostic characteristics of symptoms for meningococcal disease, comparing children with minor febrile infection (n = 407) versus case-fatality rate-adjusted meningococcal disease (n = 345).

SymptomSensitivity, % (95% CI)Specificity, % (95% CI)Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI)Negative likelihood ratio (95% CI)
Classic meningeal features
 Photophobia25.5 (20.2 to 30.8)96.1 (94.2 to 98.0)6.5 (3.8 to 11.0)0.7 (0.7 to 0.8)
 Neck pain or stiffness30.3 (24.8 to 35.9)94.3 (92.1 to 96.6)5.3 (3.5 to 8.3)0.7 (0.7 to 0.8)
 Headache35.1 (28.3 to 41.9)64.5 (59.6 to 69.4)1.0 (0.8 to 1.3)1.0 (0.9 to 1.1)
Suggested ‘red flag’ features
 Leg pain43.8 (36.7 to 50.8)94.3 (91.9 to 96.6)7.6 (4.9 to 11.9)0.6 (0.5 to 0.7)
 Cold hands or feet43.1 (37.1 to 49.1)81.8 (78.1 to 85.6)2.3 (1.9 to 3.0)0.7 (0.6 to 0.8)
 Pale colour14.0 (9.8 to 18.3)58.5 (53.7 to 63.3)0.3 (0.2 to 0.5)1.5 (1.3 to 1.6)
Other features
 Confusion46.4 (39.3 to 53.5)98.1 (96.7 to 99.5)24.2 (11.5 to 51.3)0.5 (0.5 to 0.6)
 Drowsy or very sleepy85.5 (81.3 to 89.8)65.1 (60.5 to 69.7)2.5 (2.1 to 2.8)0.2 (0.2 to 0.3)
 Rash or new spots on skin77.6 (72.5 to 82.7)86.0 (82.6 to 89.4)5.5 (4.3 to 7.1)0.3 (0.2 to 0.3)
 Nausea or vomiting72.7 (67.3 to 78.1)63.9 (59.2 to 68.5)2.0 (1.7 to 2.3)0.4 (0.3 to 0.5)
 Irritable or miserable72.6 (67.1 to 78.0)47.7 (42.8 to 52.5)1.4 (1.2 to 1.6)0.6 (0.5 to 0.7)
 General aching41.2 (35.3 to 47.2)76.9 (72.8 to 81.0)1.8 (1.4 to 2.2)0.8 (0.7 to 0.9)
 Difficult/laboured breathing10.5 (6.8 to 14.3)86.7 (83.4 to 90.0)0.8 (0.5 to 1.2)1.0 (1.0 to 1.1)