Table 3.

Model for predictors of ED attendance for children aged 0–17 years, n = 192 607 cases contributing to modela

Univariate ORP-value95% CIMultivariate ORbP-value95% CI
Sex
  Male (ref)11
  Female0.800.00(0.79 to 0.82)0.760.00(0.74 to 0.77)
Age bands, years
  0–4 (ref)11
  5–110.590.00(0.58 to 0.61)0.690.00(0.67 to 0.70)
  12–170.570.00(0.56 to 0.59)0.670.00(0.65 to 0.69)
Ethnicityc
  White (ref)11
  South Asian0.920.00(0.89 to 0.94)0.780.00(0.76 to 0.81)
  Black0.880.00(0.85 to 0.90)0.880.00(0.85 to 0.91)
Internal IMD 2015 quintiles
  1 least deprived (ref)11
  21.070.00(1.04 to 1.11)1.070.00(1.03 to 1.11)
  31.100.00(1.06 to 1.14)1.080.00(1.04 to 1.11)
  41.160.00(1.12 to 1.20)1.120.00(1.08 to 1.17)
  5 most deprived1.190.00(1.15 to 1.23)1.150.00(1.10 to 1.19)
GP consultation count per year, per patient
  0.5–2 (ref)11
  00.410.00(0.40 to 0.42)0.400.00(0.39 to 0.41)
  ≥2.52.280.00(2.22 to 2.33)2.200.00(2.15 to 2.26)
Miles to nearest hospital0.880.00(0.86 to 0.90)0.880.00(0.86 to 0.90)
Practice variables
  Appointment experience good, %1.000.98(1.00 to 1.00)1.000.28(1.00 to 1.01)
  Satisfied with opening hours, %1.000.65(1.00 to 1.01)1.000.06(0.99 to 1.00)
  Overall experience good, %1.000.89(1.00 to 1.00)0.990.02(0.99 to 1.00)
  • a Intraclass correlation coefficient for practice variation is 0.01 (95% CI = 0.01 to 0.01).

  • b Adjusted for other variables in the table.

  • c ‘Other’ and ‘Unknown’ ethnic group categories not shown. IMD = Index of Multiple Deprivation. OR = odds ratio. Ref = reference.