Where a risk factor was not known, a default (or prior estimate) of the risk factor status was used instead. It is assumed that a patient is: a non-smoker, if smoking status is unknown; without left ventricular hypertrophy, if no ECG results are available; and, has blood pressure and cholesterol levels that are average for a person of their age and sex, if these are also unknown. This follows a previously described methodology.4 Because a nationally representative survey provides a larger and more representative sample than measurements taken within any individual practice, the default blood pressure and cholesterol levels were derived from the Health Survey for England of 1998.3
Risk factor data were entered into an Excel spreadsheet. Ten-year coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular accident (CVA) risk were calculated for each patient.5–7 Treatment eligibility was then determined for each patient using logical functions. Where more than one blood pressure or cholesterol measurement was available, the average of all the available measurements was used to calculate risk and determine treatment eligibility.
From this the proportions of patients with complete information on each risk factor, and the numbers of persons who can be identified as probably eligible for treatment, on the basis of recorded risk factor information, were calculated. Eligibility criteria are those described above. Any patient with total to HDL cholesterol ratio 8.0 or above is considered to have familial hypercholesterolaemia.
How this fits in
Primary care teams are encouraged to collect risk factor data for the purposes of identifying and treating eligible patients. Practice databases already contain sufficient cardiovascular risk factor information to identify patients who can benefit from preventive interventions. Typically, one quarter of patients, aged 35–74 years and not currently on treatment, are eligible for aspirin, antihypertensives or statins. With an appropriate systematic strategy, the vast majority of eligible patients could be identified by assessing only 20% of patients aged 35–74 years not currently on treatment. Primary care teams could make better use of information technology and recorded data to target cardiovascular disease prevention.