This is not simply a fact of historical interest to the UK. The desire to resolve health inequality has led the World Health Organization and other global agencies to reaffirm the importance of effective primary and first-contact care for achieving health development goals.3 Many low-income and middle-income countries globally are now pursuing ambitious plans for universal primary care provision with varying success.4 Most, if not all, are stumbling across the same intractable staffing problems the UK encountered 50 years ago; India is a good example.5
In 2010, the authors initiated an EU-funded collaborative project to investigate why countries in sub-Saharan Africa are finding it so difficult to staff, and therefore deliver effective, primary care. For example, in Uganda in 2011 the proportion of health worker posts vacant was 40% in larger health centres and 55% in smaller (mainly rural) health centres.6 In south-eastern Nigeria in 2006, the situation was said to be even worse, with only 29% of the required number of primary healthcare workers in post.7 There is a particular shortage of doctors; only 7% of the required number in one study from South Africa.8 And, not surprisingly, the doctor shortage is greatest in rural areas; a study of staffing levels in health centres in Windhoek (Namibia) reported no medical staff at all in the outlying clinics.9
Migration of health workers is one of the most important contributory factors to the shortage of health workers in many low-income and middle-income countries.10 Therefore, as part of the present investigation migrant healthcare workers were interviewed to explore why they had not taken up the available posts in primary (or first-contact) care in their own countries. Their accounts help explain to policymakers why their well-intentioned initiatives are failing to provide effective primary care services in sub-Saharan Africa. The authors have already drawn attention to these findings in a letter headed ‘Why there is an inverse primary care law in Africa’.11 This study reports a full account of the methodology and results.
How this fits in
The desire to resolve health inequality has led global agencies to reaffirm the importance of effective primary care for achieving health development goals. Many low-income and middle-income countries are now pursuing ambitious plans for universal primary care provision but stumbling across intractable staffing problems. The present results help to explain why: personal insecurity, lack of career opportunity, and poor working conditions seem endemic and probably increase with the need for primary care. This inverse primary care law is not immutable but until solutions are prioritised and implemented in sub-Saharan Africa, individuals in poverty are condemned to receive poor care or no care at all.