Study selection
The records selection is presented in Figure 1. Searches by keywords in databases and registers returned 4413 and 116 records, respectively, without duplicates. Records identified from other sources, including citation searching, returned 2142 records.
The four final search equations returned 422 records in MEDLINE, 3367 records in EMBASE, 420 records in Web of Science, and 828 records in CENTRAL. Records searched were mainly in English and rarely in French, German, or Spanish. At the end of the selection process, seven studies were included in the review:
five quantitative studies related to CRP biomarkers as POCT (one RCT with 653 patients,25 two observational studies totalling 405 patients,26,27 and two before-and-after studies totalling 1449 patients28,29); and
two RCTs related to PCT biomarkers as blood tests in laboratories with AECOPD subgroups including 21 and six patients.30,31
Two included observational studies were conducted by the same first author and were published only 1 year apart (Llor et al 2012 and Llor et al 2013).27,28 The first study examined a cohort in Spain, whereas the second involved a multinational cohort (Argentina, Denmark, Lithuania, Russia, Spain, and Sweden), though CRP POCT was mainly used in Sweden and Denmark. Therefore, these two studies did not address the same population.
The two PCT studies30,31 were included because at the abstract review stage it was interpreted that the primary outcome was the antibiotic prescribing rate with a PCT-guided approach. However, it turned out to be a secondary outcome. After discussion between reviewers, the authors decided to include them in the review for information purposes since no PCT study was used in the meta-analysis.
The RCT25 related to CRP biomarkers as POCT included in this study mentioned patient health outcomes as a secondary outcome. It indicated that less antibiotic use and fewer prescriptions from clinicians did not compromise patient-reported disease-specific quality of life.
One of the non-randomised studies, Strykowski et al,29 reported that underprescribing did not significantly increase. However, this may have been due to limitations in sample size. None of the other included studies addressed patient health outcomes.
A qualitative study32 based on the same English and Welsh population as the only RCT included that related to CRP biomarkers as POCT25 was excluded from this systematic review, as it did not provide quantitative data for the defined primary outcome. Interestingly, the study concluded that CRP POCT had high acceptability among primary care staff and patients, though commissioning arrangements and further simplification of the CRP POCT needed attention to facilitate implementation in routine practice.
Two studies reported cost analyses of CRP POCT (Sewell et al and Francis et al).33,34 Both were based on the RCT25 included in this review. These studies were excluded because the current systematic review aim did not encompass health economic outcomes. However, Sewell et al,
33 as the most recent and comprehensive cost analysis of CRP POCT, is considered in the Discussion section of this article.
CRP and PCT were the main biomarkers retrieved in the current review — CRP as a POCT and PCT in laboratories. Though leucocyte count appears in some records and considering a white blood count POCT device exists,35 no study assessed it as a biomarker to reduce antibiotic prescribing in AECOPD exacerbation in primary care. Likewise, neutrophil count exists as a POCT device36 and is mainly used for patients at risk of neutropenia following chemotherapy;37 however, no report mentioned its use in AECOPD exacerbation.
Eight records required discussion among the reviewers, and all were ultimately excluded, mainly owing to an incorrect publication type, an ineligible population, or an irrelevant outcome.38–45
Risk of bias within studies
Figure 2 shows the biases within the studies. The RCT by Butler et al was well designed but had two noticeable biases: it was not blinded and the first author had a conflict of interest with Roche Molecular Systems (advisory board fees) and Roche Molecular Diagnostics (grant support) are a provider of POCT devices. However, another company, Abbott, loaned POCT devices for the study and had no role in the design, accrual, analysis, data interpretation, or manuscript preparation.25 This study had a good methodological quality, and a double-blind design may have proved difficult to implement in primary care with a POCT; therefore, a moderate overall bias was decided by both reviewers. Two non-randomised studies for CRP biomarkers had serious biases owing to confounding, selection of participants, or measurement of outcome.26,28
Results of individual studies and level of evidence
All studies related to the CRP biomarker referred to POCT and found a statistically significant reduction in antibiotic prescribing rate for AECOPD (Table 2). The CRP cut-off for antibiotic prescribing from the best quality study was 40 mg/L, with no evidence of harm for patients.25 Other studies suggest either 50 mg/L,26 or a grey area between 20 mg/L and 100 mg/L where antibiotic prescribing should be discussed on a case-by-case basis (sputum purulence providing more weight to antibiotic prescribing).27–29 When CRP is ≥100 mg/L, antibiotics must be prescribed.27–29
Table 2. Main results of included studies The two studies related to PCT biomarker (blood test in laboratories and not POCT) did not allow for a conclusion on the subgroup AECOPD because of an antibiotic prescribing rate evaluated as a secondary outcome and the absence of statistical analysis.30,31
Sensitivity analysis
The authors analysed sensitivity separately: non-randomised studies only,26–29 best quality studies (very low quality excluded),25,27,29 and studies with clear CRP cut-off values (CRP at 40 mg/L or 50 mg/L).25,26
The four non-RCT studies totalling 1854 patients were also in favour of the CRP POCT to reduce antibiotic prescribing with low heterogeneity: OR 0.46 (95% CI = 0.36 to 0.58); I² = 12%.26–29
The three best quality studies were also in favour of the CRP POCT to reduce antibiotic prescribing, without heterogeneity: OR 0.37 (95% CI = 0.29 to 0.48); I² = 0%.
The two studies with a clear CRP cut-off value at 40 mg/L and 50 mg/L also returned in favour of the CRP POCT to reduce antibiotic prescribing without heterogeneity: OR 0.33 (95% CI = 0.24 to 0.45); I² = 0%.