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Research

Colchicine for COVID-19 in the community (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial

Jienchi Dorward, Ly-Mee Yu, Gail Hayward, Benjamin R Saville, Oghenekome Gbinigie, Oliver Van Hecke, Emma Ogburn, Philip H Evans, Nicholas PB Thomas, Mahendra G Patel, Duncan Richards, Nicholas Berry, Michelle A Detry, Christina Saunders, Mark Fitzgerald, Victoria Harris, Milensu Shanyinde, Simon de Lusignan, Monique I Andersson, Christopher C Butler, FD Richard Hobbs and the PRINCIPLE Trial Collaborative Group
British Journal of General Practice 19 April 2022; BJGP.2022.0083. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGP.2022.0083
Jienchi Dorward
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu–Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Roles: Clinical research fellow
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  • ORCID record for Jienchi Dorward
Ly-Mee Yu
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Associate professor
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  • ORCID record for Ly-Mee Yu
Gail Hayward
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Associate professor
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Benjamin R Saville
Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Tennessee, TN, US.
Roles: Statistician
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Oghenekome Gbinigie
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Clinical research fellow
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  • ORCID record for Oghenekome Gbinigie
Oliver Van Hecke
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Academic clinical lecturer
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Emma Ogburn
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Director of operations
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  • ORCID record for Emma Ogburn
Philip H Evans
College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinical Research Network, NIHR, London, UK.
Roles: Associate professor
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Nicholas PB Thomas
NIHR, London; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK.
Roles: NIHR Clinical Research Network
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Mahendra G Patel
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Professor
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  • ORCID record for Mahendra G Patel
Duncan Richards
Oxford Clinical Trials Research Unit, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Professor
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Nicholas Berry
Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US.
Roles: Statistician
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Michelle A Detry
Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US.
Roles: Statistician
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Christina Saunders
Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US.
Roles: Statistician
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Mark Fitzgerald
Berry Consultants, Texas, TX, US.
Roles: Statistician
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Victoria Harris
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Statistician
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Milensu Shanyinde
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Statistician
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Simon de Lusignan
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK.
Roles: Professor
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Monique I Andersson
Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Consultant
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Christopher C Butler
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Professor
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FD Richard Hobbs
Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Roles: Professor
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Abstract

Background Colchicine has been proposed as a COVID-19 treatment.

Aim To determine whether colchicine reduces time to recovery and COVID-19-related admissions to hospital and/or deaths among people in the community.

Design and setting Prospective, multicentre, open-label, multi-arm, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial (PRINCIPLE).

Method Adults aged ≥65 years or ≥18 years with comorbidities or shortness of breath, and unwell for ≤14 days with suspected COVID-19 in the community, were randomised to usual care, usual care plus colchicine (500 µg daily for 14 days), or usual care plus other interventions. The co-primary endpoints were time to first self-reported recovery and admission to hospital/death related to COVID-19, within 28 days, analysed using Bayesian models.

Results The trial opened on 2 April 2020. Randomisation to colchicine started on 4 March 2021 and stopped on 26 May 2021 because the prespecified time to recovery futility criterion was met. The primary analysis model included 2755 participants who were SARS-CoV-2 positive, randomised to colchicine (n = 156), usual care (n = 1145), and other treatments (n = 1454). Time to first self-reported recovery was similar in the colchicine group compared with usual care with an estimated hazard ratio of 0.92 (95% credible interval (CrI) = 0.72 to 1.16) and an estimated increase of 1.4 days in median time to self-reported recovery for colchicine versus usual care. The probability of meaningful benefit in time to recovery was very low at 1.8%. COVID-19-related admissions to hospital/deaths were similar in the colchicine group versus usual care, with an estimated odds ratio of 0.76 (95% CrI = 0.28 to 1.89) and an estimated difference of −0.4% (95% CrI = −2.7 to 2.4).

Conclusion Colchicine did not improve time to recovery in people at higher risk of complications with COVID-19 in the community.

  • colchicine
  • community
  • COVID-19
  • primary health care
  • randomised controlled trial
  • Received February 11, 2022.
  • Revision requested February 21, 2022.
  • Accepted March 2, 2022.
  • © The Authors
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

This article is Open Access: CC BY 4.0 licence (http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/).

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Colchicine for COVID-19 in the community (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial
Jienchi Dorward, Ly-Mee Yu, Gail Hayward, Benjamin R Saville, Oghenekome Gbinigie, Oliver Van Hecke, Emma Ogburn, Philip H Evans, Nicholas PB Thomas, Mahendra G Patel, Duncan Richards, Nicholas Berry, Michelle A Detry, Christina Saunders, Mark Fitzgerald, Victoria Harris, Milensu Shanyinde, Simon de Lusignan, Monique I Andersson, Christopher C Butler, FD Richard Hobbs, the PRINCIPLE Trial Collaborative Group
British Journal of General Practice 19 April 2022; BJGP.2022.0083. DOI: 10.3399/BJGP.2022.0083

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Colchicine for COVID-19 in the community (PRINCIPLE): a randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial
Jienchi Dorward, Ly-Mee Yu, Gail Hayward, Benjamin R Saville, Oghenekome Gbinigie, Oliver Van Hecke, Emma Ogburn, Philip H Evans, Nicholas PB Thomas, Mahendra G Patel, Duncan Richards, Nicholas Berry, Michelle A Detry, Christina Saunders, Mark Fitzgerald, Victoria Harris, Milensu Shanyinde, Simon de Lusignan, Monique I Andersson, Christopher C Butler, FD Richard Hobbs, the PRINCIPLE Trial Collaborative Group
British Journal of General Practice 19 April 2022; BJGP.2022.0083. DOI: 10.3399/BJGP.2022.0083
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Keywords

  • colchicine
  • community
  • COVID-19
  • primary health care
  • randomised controlled trial

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Print ISSN: 0960-1643
Online ISSN: 1478-5242