Table 2

Predictors of episodes of earache reported after 1 year.

Had earache n (%)Did not have earache n (%)Crude OR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)aLR χ2 (P-value)
Symptoms and signs:
 High temperature18 (21)18 (13)1.73 (0.84 to 3.55)1.88 (0.85 to 4.17)2.40 (0.12)
 Vomiting19 (24)26 (20)1.28 (0.66 to 2.50)1.45 (0.72 to 2.92)1.09 (0.30)
 Ear discharge27 (34)32 (24)1.61 (0.87 to 2.96)1.40 (0.72 to 2.69)0.98 (0.32)
 Bulging drum42 (50)63 (47)1.13 (0.65 to 1.95)1.01 (0.56 to 1.83)0.00 (0.98)
Past history — prior episodes of otitis media:
 028 (37)73 (60)118.04 (0.005) (test for trend)
 126 (35)28 (23)2.42 (1.22 to 4.82)2.42 (1.22 to 4.82)
 221 (28)21 (17)2.61 (1.24 to 5.49)2.61 (1.24 to 5.49)
Family/social factors — child care:
 Playgroup14 (25)19 (21)111.52 (0.47)
 Nursery7 (12)15 (15)0.68 (0.22 to 2.12)0.46 (0.13 to 1.62)
 School36 (63)58 (64)0.84 (0.38 to 1.89)0.79 (0.33 to 1.90)
  • OR = odds ratio. LR = likelihood ratio.

  • a Adjusted for significant predictors of outcome. Other variable assessed in models and shown not to predict outcome: asthma, eczema, exposure to smoke in the home, educational status of parents, history of breast feeding, past and current use of dummy, sibling having had otitis media.