Table 3

Final multivariable model from the validation cohort.

VariableUnivariableMultivariablea
nbORnbOR
Age (years)1520.961430.95
 95% CI0.92 to 1.000.90 to 0.99
P-value0.030.03
Deprivation1490.851430.79
 95% CI0.72 to 1.000.64 to 0.97
P-value0.050.02
GPCc1461.111431.14
 95% CI1.00 to 1.231.02 to 1.27
P-value0.050.02
Sex1520.381430.31
 95% CI0.14 to 1.080.10 to 1.02
P-value0.060.05
Ethnicity1521.591433.15
 95% CI0.55 to 4.590.78 to 12.77
P-value0.390.11
  • a Adjusted for all other variables in the model.

  • b Numbers in the analysis differ due to missing values.

  • c Number of GP consultations in the previous year.