Box 1

Equation to calculate absolute risk.

VariableScore
Constant−7.9892
Age group (years)65–692.1579
70–742.6973
75–793.2368
Systolic blood pressure (per mmHg)0.0119
Drug treatmentYes1.0243
No0
SmokerYes0.9364
No0
Previous strokeYes1.6244
No0
DiabetesYes1.6120
No0
  • LOGIT = age + systolic blood pressure + treatment + smoking + stroke + diabetes + constant. Probability of sustaining a cardiovascular accident over 10 years: P = 1/1 + exp (−LOGIT).