Table 1

Univariate analysis of risk factors for respiratory hospital admissions in the winter for older patients.

n (%)
FactorCases (n = 157)Controls (n = 639)OR (95% Cl)aP-value
Demographic factors
 Mean age, years77.076.5
 Sex
  Female70 (44.6)291 (45.5)
  Male87 (55.4)348 (54.5)
 Ethnicity
  White British137 (87.3)603 (94.4)1.0
  White Irish12 (7.6)17 (2.7)3.6 (1.6 to 8.1)0.002
  Other8 (5.1)19 (3.0)2.5 (1.0 to 6.4)0.060
Social and socioeconomic factors
 Townsend quintile (patient postcode)
  1 (least deprived)26 (17.1)126 (20.7)1.0
  224 (15.8)128 (21.0)1.1 (0.6 to 1.9)0.900
  330 (19.7)122 (20.0)0.9 (0.5 to 1.7)0.800
  434 (22.4)119 (19.5)1.6 (0.9 to 2.8)0.100
  5 (most deprived)38 (25.0)115 (18.9)1.7 (0.9 to 3.0)0.080
 Rural urban index
  Urban123 (78.3)417 (65.2)1.0
  Rural34 (21.7)222 (34.7)0.5 (0.3 to 0.8)0.001
 Home heating status
  Fully heated134 (85.4)581 (90.9)1.0
  Part heated22 (1 4.0)57 (8.9)1.5 (0.9 to 2.1)0.130
  Not heated1.0 (0.64)0
 Receiving income support
  No113 (72.0)497 (77.8)1.0
  Yes44 (28.0)142 (22.2)1.4 (0.9 to 2.1)0.16
 Owns home/mortgage
  No64 (40.8)220 (34.4)1.0
  Yes93 (59.2)419 (65.6)0.8 (0.6 to 2.1)0.260
 Living alone
  No103 (65.6)422 (66.0)1.0
  Yes54 (34.4)217 (34.0)1.0 (0.6 to 1.2)1.000
 See family or friends regularly
  Yes146 (93.0)621 (97.2)1.0
  No11 (7.0)18 (2.8)3.2 (1.3 to 7.7)0.010
Medical and behavioural factors
 Smoking status
  Never smoker27 (17.2)172 (26.9)1.0
  Ex-smoker88 (56.1)385 (60.3)1.4 (0.9 to 2.3)0.170
  Current smokerb42 (26.8)82 (12.8)3.2 (1.8 to 5.8)<0.001
Physician-diagnosed medical conditions
 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease77 (49.0)153 (23.9)3.2 (2.2 to 4.9)<0.001
 Heart disease59 (23.0)98 (18.2)1.4 (1.0 to 2.1)0.070
 Asthma31 (19.8)122 (19.1)1.1 (0.7 to 1.7)0.790
 Diabetes21 (13.4)83 (13.0)1.1 (0.7 to 2.0)0.610
 Previous cancer8 (20.0)149 (19.7)1.0 (0.5 to 2.4)0.900
 Hospitalisation in previous year
  No122 (77.7)577 (90.3)1.0
  Once15 (9.6)38 (6.0)1.6 (0.8 to 3.1)0.140
  Twice or more11 (7.0)8 (1.3)7.4 (2.7 to 20.1)<0.001
 Seen GP in the previous year
  Not at all1 (0.6)3 (0.5)1.0
  Once per year11 (7.0)71 (11.1)1.0
  Several times per year111 (70.7)468 (73.2)1.4 (0.7 to 2.8)0.300
  Once or more per month34 (21.7)95 (14.9)2.2 (1.1 to 4.6)0.040
 Functional score
  Independent74 (47.1)437 (68.4)1.0
  Restricted52 (33.1)158 (24.7)1.8 (1.2 to 2.7)0.006
  Housebound31 (19.7)44 (6.9)4.0 (2.3 to 7.2)<0.001
 General health
  Good24 (15.3)187 (29.3)1.0
  Fairly good56 (35.7)292 (45.7)1.5 (0.9 to 2.4)0.12
  Not good76 (48.4)160 (25.0)3.4 (2.0 to 5.7)<0.001
 Oral steroidsc
  None94 (59.9)516 (80.8)1.0
  1 course17 (10.8)36 (5.6)2.6 (1.3 to 5.1)0.006
  2 or more courses36 (22.9)64 (10.0)2.9 (1.8 to 4.7)<0.001
  • a Conditional analyses.

  • b Includes smokers who quit less than 12 months previously.

  • c Conservative estimate: reported number of courses minus 1. OR = odds ratio.