Table 3

Validation statistics for the risk-prediction algorithmin the validation cohort

StatisticMean (95% CI)
Females
R2 statistic,a %71.2 (69.2 to 73.2)
 D statisticb3.22 (3.06 to 3.37)
 ROC statisticc0.89 (0.87 to 0.91)
Men
R2 statistic,a %72.5 (71.1 to 73.8)
 D statisticb3.32 (3.21 to 3.43)
 ROC statisticc0.92 (0.91 to 0.93)
  • a R2 statistic shows explained variation in time to diagnosis of gastro-oesophageal cancer—higher values indicate more variation is explained.

  • b D statistic is ameasure of discrimination—higher values indicate better discrimination.

  • c ROC statistic is ameasure of discrimination—higher values indicate better discrimination.