Table 3

Validation statistics for the risk prediction algorithm in the validation cohort

Mean (95% CI)
Females
R2 statistica (%)58.7 (55.4 to 61.9)
 D statisticb2.44 (2.27 to 2.60)
 ROC statisticc0.84 (0.82 to 0.86)
Males
R2 statistica (%)62.0 (59.1 to 64.8)
 D statisticb2.61 (2.45 to 2.77)
 ROC statisticc0.87 (0.85 to 0.88)
  • a R2 statistic shows explained variation in time to diagnosis of pancreatic cancer – higher values indicate more variation is explained.

  • b D statistic is a measure of discrimination – higher values indicate better discrimination.

  • c ROC statistic is a measure of discrimination – higher values indicate better discrimination.