Table 4.

Comparison of change in predicted probabilities for each model of care in response to changes in selected attributes

GPPharmacistTelehealthSelf-management
Baseline uptake, % (95% CI)a25.7 (22.0 to 28.3)24.8 (21.1 to 27.7)23.3 (19.2 to 26.4)26.2 (23.4 to 32.8)
Change in probability from baseline, % (95% CI)b
AttributeChange
Frequency of BP measurement
Monthly to every 3 months−2.5 (−11.7 to 6.7)−1.5 (−10.7 to 7.6)−2.6 (−11.5 to 6.3)0.0 (−9.4 to 9.5)
Monthly to every 6 months−4.7 (−13.7 to 4.4)−4.4 (−13.4 to 4.5)−3.9 (−12.6 to 4.9)−1.8 (−11.1 to 7.6)
Monthly to every 12 months−12.7 (−21.0 to 4.3)−11.9 (−20.2 to 3.6)−10.9 (−19.0 to 2.8)−9.5 (−18.2 to 0.7)
Reduction in 5-year cardiovascular risk
5% to 10%21.5 (11.5 to 31.6)20.9 (10.9 to 30.9)20.2 (10.4 to 30.1)18.9 (8.8 to 28.9)
5% to 15%22.0 (11.9 to 32.0)21.9 (11.9 to 31.9)19.9 (10.0 to 29.8)17.3 (7.3 to 27.4)
5% to 25%34.1 (24.2 to 44.1)35.1 (25.1 to 45.0)34.2 (24.3 to 44.1)32.1 (22.1 to 42.1)
Cost to NHS
£50 to £100−2.9 (−12.1 to 6.3)−1.1 (−10.3 to 8.1)−2.8 (−11.7 to 6.0)−0.3 (−9.7 to 9.1)
£50 to £150−6.9 (−15.8 to 2.0)−8.7 (−17.3 to 0.1)−7.0 (−15.5 to 1.5)−5.7 (−14.7 to 3.4)
£50 to £250−14.3 (−22.5 to−6.1)−13.6 (−21.7 to −5.5)−14.0 (−21.8 to −6.2)−10.8 (−19.4 to −2.2)
  • a Baseline uptake represents the predicted probabilities that participants would choose each model of care assuming participants had access to all four, all else being equal.

  • b Refers to change from baseline uptake and represents absolute change in proportions. BP = blood pressure.