Table 3.

Summary of one-way sensitivity analyses conducted and optimal strategy based on WTP of £20 000

ParameterChangeOptimal strategy
Cost of RDCChange number of patients per day from 2.78 to 5RDC (outperforms)
Cost of RDCChange number of patients per day from 2.78 to 4RDC (outperforms)
Cost of RDCChange number of patients per day from 2.78 to 3No RDC (ICER = £22 140)
Cost of RDCChange number of patients per day from 2.78 to 2No RDC (ICER = £69 969)
Cost of RDCChange number of patients per day from 2.78 to 1No RDC (ICER = £213 459)
All costsAdd 20% to all costsNo RDC (ICER = £35 678)
All costsSubtract 20% from all costsNo RDC (ICER = £23 786)
All costsAdd 50% to all costsNo RDC (ICER = £44 598)
All costsSubtract 50% from all costsRDC (ICER = £14 866)
Adjusted OR for control group cancer patientsAfter 2 months increase cancer QALY OR from 0.69 to 0.95No RDC (ICER = £34 848)
Cancer diagnosis utilityUtility decreases by 3% to 0.602No RDC (ICER = £62 637)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosisNo RDC (ICER = £245 102)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosis with number of patients 5 per dayRDC (outperforms)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosis with number of patients 4 per dayRDC (outperforms)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosis with number of patients 3 per dayNo RDC (£182 514)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosis with number of patients 2 per dayNo RDC (ICER = £576 811)
UtilityKeep all utilities 0.664 rather than 0.62 for all patients until diagnosis with number of patients 1 per dayNo RDC (ICER = £1 759 700)
  • ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. OR = odds ratio. QALY = quality-adjusted life year. RDC = rapid diagnosis centre. WTP = willingness-to-pay.