Table 2.

Changes in consulting rates in April to July 2020 compared to April to July 2019 overall, and stratified by patient characteristics^a

	All consultations			Face-to-face and home visits			Telephone, video, and e-consultations

GP consultations	IRR	95% CI	P-value	IRR	95% CI	P-value	IRR	95% CI	P-value
Change in consultation rates by variable (2020 versus 2019)^b	0.89	0.85 to 0.92	<0.001	0.16	0.14 to 0.19	<0.001	2.76	2.33 to 3.27	<0.001

Age category, years^c			<0.001			<0.001			0.421
0–4	0.81	0.73 to 0.88	<0.001	0.24	0.20 to 0.28	<0.001	2.60	2.14 to 3.15	<0.001
5–17	0.65	0.59 to 0.71	<0.001	0.12	0.10 to 0.14	<0.001	2.19	1.81 to 2.65	<0.001
18–49	0.91	0.83 to 1.00	0.041	0.16	0.14 to 0.19	<0.001	2.77	2.30 to 3.34	<0.001
50–69	0.89	0.81 to 0.97	0.008	0.16	0.14 to 0.19	<0.001	2.76	2.29 to 3.33	<0.001
70–84	0.96	0.87 to 1.05	0.324	0.19	0.16 to 0.22	<0.001	2.84	2.35 to 3.42	<0.001
≥85	1.05	0.96 to 1.16	0.265	0.24	0.21 to 0.29	<0.001	2.78	2.30 to 3.36	<0.001

Mental health status^c			<0.001			0.687			0.229
Good mental health	0.84	0.80 to 0.87	<0.001	0.16	0.14 to 0.18	<0.001	2.61	2.25 to 3.03	<0.001
Poor mental health	1.06	1.01 to 1.10	0.022	0.17	0.14 to 0.19	<0.001	2.97	2.56 to 3.44	<0.001

Shielding status^c			<0.001			0.032			0.644
Non shielding	0.86	0.81 to 0.91	<0.001	0.16	0.14 to 0.18	<0.001	2.67	2.29 to 3.11	<0.001
Shielding	1.09	1.03 to 1.16	0.004	0.20	0.17 to 0.23	<0.001	2.81	2.41 to 3.27	<0.001

Sex^c			0.411			0.776			0.718

IMD quintile^c			0.895			0.867			0.940

Ethnicity^c			0.636			0.076			0.108

Nurse/paramedic consultations	IRR	95% CI	P -value	IRR	95% CI	P-value	IRR	95% CI	P-value

Change in consultation rates by variable (2020 versus 2019)^b	0.83	0.76 to 0.91	<0.001	0.54	0.49 to 0.59	<0.001	5.51	3.81 to 7.97	<0.001

Age category, years^c			0.003			<0.001			0.835
0–4	1.00	0.85 to 1.17	0.975	0.83	0.70 to 0.98	0.026	5.71	3.98 to 8.18	<0.001
5–17	0.62	0.53 to 0.73	<0.001	0.29	0.25 to 0.35	<0.001	4.71	3.32 to 6.68	<0.001
18–49	0.87	0.74 to 1.02	0.081	0.53	0.45 to 0.62	<0.001	6.66	4.79 to 9.27	<0.001
50–69	0.89	0.76 to 1.04	0.154	0.57	0.48 to 0.67	<0.001	5.74	4.13 to 7.98	<0.001
70–84	0.86	0.74 to 1.01	0.064	0.56	0.48 to 0.66	<0.001	5.54	3.97 to 7.73	<0.001
≥85	0.83	0.71 to 0.97	0.021	0.51	0.44 to 0.61	<0.001	5.51	3.90 to 7.78	<0.001

Mental health status^c			0.017			0.012			0.966
Good mental health	0.83	0.75 to 0.92	<0.001	0.54	0.49 to 0.59	<0.001	5.78	4.24 to 7.87	<0.001
Poor mental health	0.99	0.90 to 1.10	0.890	0.65	0.58 to 0.72	<0.001	5.72	4.17 to 7.86	<0.001

Shielding status^c			0.001			0.001			0.222
Non shielding	0.83	0.73 to 0.94	0.003	0.53	0.46 to 0.60	<0.001	5.28	3.75 to 7.44	<0.001
Shielding	1.15	1.01 to 1.31	0.031	0.73	0.63 to 0.84	<0.001	7.13	4.99 to 10.19	<0.001

Sex^c			0.390			0.873			0.727

IMD quintile^c			0.958			0.926			0.879

Ethnicity^c			0.163			0.111			0.924

↵a Table 2 shows output from the negative binomial models.
↵b The overall changes in consulting in 2020 compared to 2019 are presented.
↵c P-values for the interaction between consulting year and patient characteristics are presented. Changes in consulting rates are only presented by the different levels of a patient characteristic for characteristics if the interaction P-value is <0.05 for at least one of the three outcome models. IMD = Index of Multiple Deprivation. IRR = incidence rate ratio.