Table 2.

Adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for the final models for myeloma

VariableFBC model,aAll-test model,b
HR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)
Demographics
Female0.45 (0.37 to 0.54)0.48 (0.39 to 0.58)
AgecFP (0.5, 0.5)FP (0.5, 0.5)
Symptoms
Back pain2.37 (1.89 to 2.98)2.46 (1.96 to 3.10)
Chest pain1.76 (1.33 to 2.33)1.85 (1.39 to 2.45)
Rib pain2.94 (1.46 to 5.99)2.81 (1.38 to 5.72)
Nosebleeds2.26 (1.32 to 3.85)2.11 (1.23 to 3.61)
FBC
HaemoglobincFP (3, 3)FP (3, 3)
White cell countcFP (−2, −2)FP (−2, −2)
PlateletscFP (−1, −0.5)FP (−0.5, 0)
MCVcFP (3, 3)FP (3, 3)
Other tests
ESRNA1.03 (1.03 to 10.33)
CalciumcNAFP (−1)
  • a FBC model contains a single FBC.

  • b All-test model contains a single FBC, plus ESR and calcium.

  • c Numerals in parenthesis represent the transformations used. CI = confidence interval. ESR = erythrocyte sedimentation rate.

  • FBC = full blood count. FP = fractional polynomials. HR = hazard ratio. MCV = mean corpuscular volume. NA = not applicable.