Table 3.

Logistic regressions of uptake of an NHSHC estimating the effect of the intervention, with control letter as a baseline; adjusted model includes sex (reference category male), age (reference category 40–44 years), and ethnicity (reference category white) as covariates and GP practice as a random effect. P-values for random effects are log likelihood tests between models that include and omit the random effect

Model 1a: (Pseudo R2= 0.006)Model 2b: (Pseudo R2 =0.408)Model 3c: Pseudo R2= 0.410)
OR (CI)P-valueOR (CI)P-valueOR (CI)P-value
Intercept0.08 (0.07 to 0.09)<0.0010.10 (0.05 to 0.19)<0.0010.07 (0.03 to 0.15)<0.001
Intervention1.70 (1.46 to 1.99)<0.0011.62 (1.37 to 1.90)<0.0012.28 (1.46 to 3.55)<0.001
Female0.99 (0.84 to 1.16)0.861.32 (1.02 to 1.71)0.036
45–49 years0.70 (0.57 to 0.86)<0.0010.69 (0.56 to 0.85)<0.001
50–54 years0.71 (0.57 to 0.90)0.00470.78 (0.62 to 1.00)0.04501
55–59 years0.71 (0.55 to 0.93)0.01320.77 (0.59 to 1.01)0.055
60–64 years0.55 (0.38 to 0.79)0.00110.55 (0.38 to 0.78)<0.001
65–69 years0.64 (0.42 to 0.98)0.03950.64 (0.42 to 0.98)0.0418
70–74 years0.61 (0.37 to 1.03)0.060.65 (0.39 to 1.10)0.110
Black0.93 (0.77 to 1.12)0.440.92 (0.76 to 1.12)0.405
Asian0.75 (0.49 to 1.14)0.180.74 (0.49 to 1.13)0.161
Mixed1.35 (0.90 to 2.03)0.141.37 (0.92 to 2.06)0.125
Other0.64 (0.48 to 0.86)0.00310.64 (0.48 to 0.86)0.0032
Unknown0.13 (0.08 to 0.22)<0.0010.13 (0.08 to 0.22)<0.001
Interventiona Female0.62 (0.44 to 0.86)0.004495
Variation in intercept1.27<0.0011.31<0.001
between practices, SD
Variation in slopes for the0.56<0.001
intervention between practices, SD
  • a Model 1: an unadjusted model that contains only the intervention as a fixed effect.

  • b Model 2: adds practice as a random effect and the demographics as fixed effects.

  • c Model 3: an interaction between sex and the intervention is added, and as well allowing varying slopes for the different GP practices, to investigate differences in effectiveness of the intervention depending on sex and on the individual GP practice. CI = confidence interval. NHSHC = NHS Health Check. OR = odds ratio. SD = standard deviation.