Table 2.

Diagnostic accuracy measures with 95% confidence intervals of the simplified prediction model for predicting sepsis at different score thresholds in development data, N = 357

Cut-off point, (n)Sensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)LR+ (95% CI)LR–(95% CI)PPV (95% CI)NPV (95% CI)
≥1 (352)100 (98 to 100)2.4 (0.8 to 5.6)1.02 (1.00 to 1.05)0.0043 (38 to 48)100
≥2 (324)99 (96 to 100)16 (11 to 21)1.18 (1.11 to 1.25)0.04 (0.01 to 0.31)46 (41 to 52)97 (84 to 100)
≥3 (251)92 (87 to 96)46 (39 to 53)1.69 (1.48 to 1.93)0.17 (0.10 to 0.31)55 (49 to 62)89 (81 to 94)
≥4 (118)60 (51 to 68)86 (81 to 91)4.39 (3.03 to 6.34)0.47 (0.38 to 0.57)76 (68 to 84)74 (68 to 80)
≥5 (32)18 (12 to 25)98 (94 to 99)7.37 (2.90 to 18.7)0.84 (0.78 to 0.91)84 (67 to 95)62 (56 to 67)
  • LR+ = positive likelihood ratio. LR–= negative likelihood ratio. PPV = positive predictive value. NPV = negative predictive value.