Table 2.

Diagnoses with a 1-year cumulative incidence of ≥1% in males (n = 14 506) and females (n = 14 955) aged 60–69 years, and in males (n = 13 460) and females (n = 23 008) aged ≥70 years after newly recorded abdominal pain

Sex, age group, and diagnosisNumber in 1 yearAt risk, nCumulative 1-year incidence, % (95% CI)
After index dateBefore index date
Male, 60–69 years
Upper GI problems80863913 8675.8 (5.4 to 6.2)
Diverticular disease60224114 2654.2 (3.9 to 4.6)
Gallstone3367014 4362.3 (2.1 to 2.6)
Prostatitis31639114 1152.2 (2.0 to 2.5)
UTI23331314 1931.6 (1.4 to 1.9)
IBS19413514 3711.3 (1.2 to 1.6)
Female, 60–69 years
UTI856129213 6636.3 (5.9 to 6.7)
Upper GI problems76879614 1595.4 (5.1 to 5.8)
Diverticular disease69732714 6284.8 (4.4 to 5.1)
Gallstone46713214 8233.2 (2.9 to 3.4)
IBS35525414 7012.4 (2.2 to 2.7)
Male,≥70 years
Upper GI problems75260512 8555.8 (5.5 to 6.3)
Diverticular disease55133113 1294.2 (3.9 to 4.6)
UTI42558312 8773.3 (3.0 to 3.6)
Gallstone3208313 3772.4 (2.1 to 2.7)
Prostatitis31748212 9782.4 (2.2 to 2.7)
Colorectal cancer19019013 4601.4 (1.2 to 1.6)
Cholecystitis1895713 4031.4 (1.2 to 1.6)
Female,≥70 years
UTI1608289420 1148.0 (7.6 to 8.4)
Diverticular disease135179022 2186.1 (5.8 to 6.4)
Upper GI problems1135114721 8615.2 (4.9 to 5.5)
Gallstone56019422 8142.5 (2.3 to 2.7)
IBS29929122 7171.3 (1.2 to 1.5)
Gastroenteritis24732122 6871.1 (1.0 to 1.2)
  • a Diagnoses listed in order of descending 1-year cumulative incidence, by sex and age group. Upper GI problems include gastro-oesophageal reflux disease, hiatus hernia, gastritis, oesophagitis, and gastric/duodenal ulcer. GI = gastrointestinal. IBS = irritable bowel syndrome. UTI = urinary tract infection.