The myth of the birthday blues: a population-based study about the association between birthday and suicide
Introduction
Various factors have been identified as being associated with suicide. Because short- as well as long-term temporal factors greatly influence many daily activities [1], it seems reasonable to assume an influence of such factors on the occurrence of suicide as well. For example, it has been observed that suicide occurred more frequently during the daytime than during the night and therefore presumed that the duration of daylight was a determining factor, for example, in yearly distributions of suicides. The time of death by suicide seems to vary throughout the day [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7]. Several investigations studied the timing of deaths through suicide, taking into account specific dates of supposedly significant meaning to the individual, such as his or her own birthday or the birthday of close relatives. Barraclough and Shephard [7] found that suicides committed by elderly people older than 75 years were more likely to kill themselves in a 60-day period around their birthday than chance would predict. In a study on a similar population composed of people older than 75 years, an excess of suicides in the birth month and the following 2 months has been observed [8], whereas others found that death through suicide was significantly more likely to occur within a 3-month period after the individual's birthday than 3 months before [9]. A study on children dying from suicide produced evidence that suicide was more common in a 4-week period around their birthdays [10], although this was discussed controversially in another study, which failed to reproduce such an association [11]. Several reasons for this phenomenon have been addressed in the aforementioned studies. An individual's birthday may affect morale in the elderly, thereby impairing their resistance to fatal disease and giving in to some kind of “birthday stress” [8].
Identifying an association between an anniversary and self-inflicted death may be of practical as well as theoretical value because the defining of high-risk periods of the individual is important for suicide prevention. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the association of the individual's birthday and the chosen time for self-inflicted death in a population-based study.
Section snippets
Samples
The study included all residents of Bavaria who died between January 1, 1998, and December 31, 2003, whose deaths were classified as suicide by the death certificate. Bavaria is a federal state of Germany and has about 12.3 million inhabitants. Data from the death certificate concerning time of death, sex and, birthday were obtained from the Bavarian State Office for Statistics and Data Processing (Munich, Germany). Because of the obligations of secrecy of the German law, we were not provided
Results
Concerning the means of suicide, 9679 suicides were committed choosing a violent method (85.1%; 7397 male subjects and 2282 female subjects) and 1699 suicides (14.9%; 972 male subjects and 727 female subjects) through a nonviolent method. The choice of a violent or nonviolent method was significantly associated with sex (χ2 = 274.3, P < .001).
The distribution of suicides within 3, 7, 14, 30, and 90 days preceding as well as after the individuals' birthdays did not differ significantly from the
Discussion
According to the findings of the present study, there is no evidence for an alteration of suicide ratios in connection to the individual's birthday, which is in line with previous studies on suicide as well as on suicide attempts [11], [12]. In some strata of our analyses, significant ratios could be observed. Because no pattern is visible, this is probably due to pure chance. Moreover, regardless of the use of any correction system for multiple testing, no evident association between suicide
Conclusions
Psychiatric, social, and environmental predictors of suicide have been widely studied to improve prediction and prevention of suicide. A better understanding of the timing of suicide might help to detect at-risk populations and to develop better treatment interventions. However, no such effect as a birthday blues could be observed in the present study.
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