Tracking of cardiovascular disease risk factor variables in school-age children

J Chronic Dis. 1983;36(9):647-60. doi: 10.1016/0021-9681(83)90081-4.

Abstract

Persistence in ranks (tracking) for cardiovascular disease risk factor variables was examined in 2236 children who were screened three times over a 5-yr period. As expected, the greatest persistence was noted for height (r = 0.47-0.99) and weight (r = 0.70-0.96). Correlation coefficients for systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure ranged from 0.38 to 0.66 and 0.22 to 0.49 respectively. Among lipids, the correlations were highest for serum beta-lipoprotein cholesterol ranging from 0.62 to 0.78. For those children who were at or above the 90th percentile on a risk factor variable during the first examination, a tendency to retain their ranks in the second and third examinations was noted. For systolic blood pressure, 35% of those initially high remained high in the second examination and 30% in the third examination. Correspondingly, for those initially high for beta-lipoprotein cholesterol, 47 and 41% remained high. A linear discriminant model was used to distinguish characteristics of children who persisted at high rankings and those who did not. The model was effective for total and beta-lipoprotein cholesterol, but only moderately so for systolic blood pressure.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Anthropometry*
  • Blood Pressure*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / etiology*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cholesterol / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Lipids / blood*
  • Lipoproteins / blood
  • Male
  • Risk
  • Triglycerides / blood

Substances

  • Lipids
  • Lipoproteins
  • Triglycerides
  • lipoprotein cholesterol
  • Cholesterol